System Dimensions: Pattern
Partial Data Available   Download This Indicator (.pdf)

Note that the data published in the 2002 State of the Nation’s Ecosystems Report as well as the 2003 and 2005 Web-Only Updates have been superseded by the 2008 Report and thus should be used with caution. For the most recent data, purchase the 2008 Report from Island Press.

Graph depicting forest cover and neighborhood size
View Data for Forest Cover and "Neighborhood" Size

What Is This Indicator, and Why Is It Important? Imagine that it was possible to measure, for each tree in the nation's forests, whether that tree was surrounded by more-or-less complete forest cover, or whether its "neighborhood" contained a substantial amount of nonforest cover (agriculture, developed areas, recently cleared land, roads, railroads, powerline rights-of way, etc.). Some trees have only small forested neighborhoods, while others are surrounded by larger forested regions.

This indicator describes a tree's forest neighborhood according to the degree of forest cover within various distances. Thus, the "immediate neighborhood" of a particular tree is everything within about 250 feet in all directions. This "immediate neighborhood" is "mostly forest" if the land is at least 90% forested. A tree's "local neighborhood" extends about 1/4 mile in all directions, and its "larger neighborhood" extends about 2 1/2 miles. This analysis relies upon computer analyses of satellite data on millions of individual forest points. While these points (called "pixels") are not individual trees—they are squares about 100 feet on a side—they serve much the same purpose.

"Forest fragmentation" describes the degree to which forested areas are being broken into smaller patches and interspersed with nonforest areas. Research has shown that forest close to nonforest cover is often warmer and drier, more likely to be affected by wind, and more likely to be invaded by non-native species. In addition, forest animals that live near developed areas, farmlands, or roads are more likely to be affected by collisions with cars, increased hunting pressure, noise, lights, predation by cats and dogs, etc.

These effects may be felt at different distances from the nonforest edge. In addition, some species are quite sensitive to these effects, while others are less affected. Because these variations in both effect and response by species mean that there is no single distance threshold for the extent of such effects, this indicator presents a range of different neighborhood sizes.

What Do the Data Show? About two-thirds of all points in both eastern and western forests have land cover that is mostly forest.that is, 10% or less of the area is nonforest—within their immediate neighborhood (roughly 250-foot radius). About a quarter of all forest points are surrounded by larger (roughly 2 1/2-mile radius) neighborhoods that are "mostly forest." Tracking this indicator through time is important, because it will help distinguish between natural forest patterns and changes caused by human activity.

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